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Experience gained in analyzing severe accidents for WWER RP using CC SOCRAT

《能源前沿（英文）》 2021年 第15卷 第4期   页码 872-886 doi: 10.1007/s11708-021-0796-2

摘要： The current Russian regulatory documents on the safety of nuclear power plant (NPP) specify the requirements regarding design basis accidents (DBAs) and beyond design basis accidents (BDBAs), including severe accidents (SAs) with core meltdown, in NPP design (NP-001-15, NP-082-07, and others). For a rigorous calculational justification of BDBAs and SAs, it is necessary to develop an integral CC that will be in line with the requirements of regulatory documents on verification and certification (RD-03-33-2008, RD-03-34-2000) and will allow for determining the amount of data required to provide information within the scope stipulated by the requirements for the structure of the safety analysis report (SAR) (NP-006-16). The system of codes for realistic analysis of severe accidents (SOCRAT) (formerly, thermohydraulics (RATEG)/coupled physical and chemical processes (SVECHA)/behavior of core materials relocated into the reactor lower plenum (HEFEST)) was developed in Russia to analyze a wide range of SAs at NPP with water-cooled water-moderated power-generating reactor (WWER) at all stages of the accident. Enhancements to the code and broadening of its applicability are continually being pursued by the code developers (Nuclear Safety Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IBRAE RAN)) with OKB Gidropress JSC and other organizations. Currently, the SOCRAT/1 code can be used as a base tool to obtain realistic estimates for all parameters important for computational justification of the reactor plant (RP) safety at the in-vessel stage of SAs with fuel melting. To perform analyses using CC SOCRAT/1, the experience gained during execution of thermohydraulic codes is applied, which allows for minimizing the uncertainties in the results at the early stage of an accident scenario. This study presents the results of the work performed in 2010–2020 in OKB Gidropress JSC using the CC SOCRAT/1. Approaches have been considered to develop calculational models and analyze SAs using CC SOCRAT. This process, which is clearly structured in OKB Gidropress JSC, provides a noticeable reduction in human involvement, and reduces the probability of erroneous results.

关键词： system of codes for realistic analysis of severe accidents (SOCRAT)     design basis accidents (DBAs)     severe accidents (SAs)     computer code (CC)     nuclear power plant (NPP) design     water-cooled water-moderated (WWER)     modeling     model     safety requirements    

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Trends of environmental accidents and impact factors in China

Pengli XUE, Weihua ZENG

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2011年 第5卷 第2期   页码 266-276 doi: 10.1007/s11783-010-0267-1

摘要： An overview of the spatial and temporal variations of the environmental accidents in China in recent years was presented in this paper using available data. The results showed that the frequency of pollution accidents was significantly decreased, from 3462 in 1990 to 462 in 2007. The water and air pollution accidents were found to be the dominant types, accounting for more than 80% of the total accidents. Considering the classification of environmental accidents at 4 scales, the general environmental accident, i.e., the least serious type, was the most frequent event, taking up 58.98% of the total pollution accidents. In addition, the distribution of environmental accidents was generally in accordance with the industrial layout in the country during the past decade. It is very important to note that the extraordinarily severe environmental accidents showed an increasing trend in underdeveloped regions, which was caused by the transfer and the development of heavy polluted industry in these areas. As to the losses of environmental accidents, the casualties presented an obvious reduction tendency, while the direct economic loss per accident tended to climb up. Furthermore, some key factors that affect the spatial and temporal tendencies of environmental accidents in China were discussed and some suggestions were put forward, hoping to shed light on environmental risk management and emergency plans making associated with environmental accidents in China.

关键词： environmental accidents     spatial and temporal trends     environmental risk    

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中法关于核能与环境的联合研究 Feature Article

赵宪庚, 叶其蓁, Sébastien Candel, Dominique Vignon, Robert Guillaumont

《工程（英文）》 2023年 第26卷 第7期   页码 159-172 doi: 10.1016/j.eng.2023.04.011

摘要：

本文聚焦核能的环境影响问题，将解决如下核能发电相关的主要环境问题：①控制正常运行条件下核设施的放射性排放，评估其非放射性环境影响（取水与非放射性水的排放）；②乏燃料与放射性废物的长期管理，主要是通过地质处置库处理的乏燃料或放射性废物；③防止和缓解严重核事故以及核事故的放射性释放；④改善核安全水平，以限制核能的环境影响，提升公众的核能接受度。核能的温室气体排放水平非常低，可以根据需求供应大规模、可调度电力，在此方面核能具有独特的优势。在正常运行工况下，核电站每年释放到周围公众的有效辐射剂量可以忽略不计。国际社会已经开展了大量的努力，以确定可持续管理地质处置条件下高放长寿命放射性废物的方法。过去几次严重核事故中获得的经验为核能生产相关的安全问题提供了经验，也促成了重要的安全改进，其中包括反应堆的设计和运行管理方面的改善以及事故管理指导方针的制定等。事实证明，这些经验是非常宝贵的。严重事故的环境风险已经被大幅降低，相关的规约也已经建立起来，以最大限度地减少严重核事故条件下放射性物质的释放，并避免大规模的人员疏散。还需要继续采取措施，改善反应堆的安全性，提升核工业与核监管机构的透明度，以进一步降低核能的环境影响。

关键词： 核能     环境影响     放射性废物管理     严重核事故     核安全    

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重大环境污染事故风险模糊排序方法研究

熊德琪,陈钢,李琼

《中国工程科学》 2001年 第3卷 第8期   页码 46-50

摘要：

根据工厂重大环境污染事故风险评价呈多指标多层次结构，且风险性排序具有相对性和模糊性的特点，运用模糊集理论中的权距离和隶属度概念，并将最小二乘法加以拓展，提出能够有效解决此类多指标多层次排序或优选问题的模糊排序方法。用于对大连市4家重点工厂的事故风险性进行评价和排序，评价结果合理、准确。

关键词： 污染事故     风险     排序     评价     模糊    

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The influencing factors of the WTP for the risk reduction of chemical industry accidents in China

Lei HUANG, Zhijuan SHAO, Weiliang BAO, Bailing DUAN, Jun BI, Zengwei YUAN

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2012年 第6卷 第6期   页码 860-868 doi: 10.1007/s11783-012-0467-y

摘要： To explore the factors that influence respondents’ willingness to pay (WTP) for the risk reduction of chemical industry accidents, a questionnaire survey combined with contingent valuation and psychometric paradigm methods were conducted in the city of Yancheng, Jiangsu Province, China. Both traditional socioeconomic variables and perceived characteristics of the hazards were considered in this study, and a Tobit model was used to find the factors influencing WTP under three risk reduction scenarios. The results showed that three demographic characteristics, , , and , significantly affected the WTP for chemical risk reduction. In addition, three extracted public risk perception factors, , , and , also strongly affected the WTP. The mean WTP value increased as the magnitude of the risk reduction increased. The number of factors influencing the WTP decreased as the reduction level improved, and only the factor had a significant influence on the WTP for a higher level (80%) of risk reduction. The cost for chemical safety management of Yancheng was calculated, and the optimized risk reduction level was determined. These findings can assist governments and policy makers to formulate suitable strategies for risk control, to reach target groups of people to develop effective communication, and to provide specific references for the best investment for the security of local residents.

关键词： risk perception     willingness to pay     contingent valuation method     risk management school of the environment    

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Treatment of severe acute pancreatitis through retroperitoneal laparoscopic drainage

Chun Tang, Baolin Wang, Bing Xie, Hongming Liu, Ping Chen

《医学前沿（英文）》 2011年 第5卷 第3期   页码 302-305 doi: 10.1007/s11684-011-0145-7

摘要： A treatment method based on drainage via retroperitoneal laparoscopy was adopted for 15 severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) patients to investigate the feasibility of the method. Ten patients received only drainage via retroperitoneal laparoscopy, four patients received drainage via both retroperitoneal and preperitoneal laparoscopy, and one patient received drainage via conversion to laparotomy. Thirteen patients exhibited a good drainage effect and were successfully cured without any other surgical treatment. Two patients had encapsulated effusions or pancreatic pseudocysts after surgery, but were successfully cured after lavage and B ultrasound-guided percutaneous catheter drainage. SAP treatment via retroperitoneal laparoscopic drainage is an effective surgical method, resulting in minor injury.

关键词： severe acute pancreatitis (SAP)     laparoscope     retroperitoneal drainage     treatment    

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Presentation of machine learning methods to determine the most important factors affecting road traffic accidents

Hamid MIRZAHOSSEIN; Milad SASHURPOUR; Seyed Mohsen HOSSEINIAN; Vahid Najafi Moghaddam GILANI

《结构与土木工程前沿（英文）》 2022年 第16卷 第5期   页码 657-666 doi: 10.1007/s11709-022-0827-z

摘要： The purpose of this research was to develop statistical and intelligent models for predicting the severity of road traffic accidents (RTAs) on rural roads. Multiple Logistic Regression (MLR) was used to predict the likelihood of RTAs. For more accurate prediction, Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) and Radius Basis Function (RBF) neural networks were applied. Results indicated that in MLR, the model obtained from the backward method with the correct percent of 84.7% and R2 value of 0.893 was the best method for predicting the likelihood of RTAs. Also, MLR showed that the variables of not paying attention to the front not paying attention to the frontroad ahead, followed byand then vehicle-motorcycle/bike accidents were the greatest problems. Among the models, MLP had a better performance, so that the prediction accuracy of MLR, MLP, and RBF were 84.7%, 96.7%, and 92.1%, respectively. MLP model, due to higher accuracy, showed that the variable of reason of accident had the highest effect on the prediction of accidents, and considering MLR results, the variables of not paying attention to the front and then vehicle-motorcycle/bike accidents had the most influence on the occurrence of accidents. Therefore, motorcyclists and cyclists are more prone to accidents, and appropriate solutions should be adopted to enhance their safety.

关键词： safety     rural accidents     multiple logistic regression     artificial neural networks    

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Outcomes of haploidentical bone marrow transplantation in patients with severe aplastic anemia-II thatprogressed from non-severe acquired aplastic anemia

《医学前沿（英文）》 2021年 第15卷 第5期   页码 718-727 doi: 10.1007/s11684-020-0807-4

摘要： Severe aplastic anemia II (SAA-II) progresses from non-severe aplastic anemia (NSAA). The unavailability of efficacious treatment has prompted the need for haploidentical bone marrow transplantation (haplo-BMT) in patients lacking a human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-matched donor. This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of haplo-BMT for patients with SAA-II. Twenty-two patients were included and followed up, and FLU/BU/CY/ATG was used as conditioning regimen. Among these patients, 21 were successfully engrafted, 19 of whom survived after haplo-BMT. Four patients experienced grade II–IV aGvHD, including two with grade III–IV aGvHD. Six patients experienced chronic GvHD, among whom four were mild and two were moderate. Twelve patients experienced infections during BMT. One was diagnosed with post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder and one with probable EBV disease, and both recovered after rituximab infusion. Haplo-BMT achieved 3-year overall survival and disease-free survival rate of 86.4%±0.73% after a median follow-up of 42 months, indicating its effectiveness as a salvage therapy. These promising outcomes may support haplo-BMT as an alternative treatment strategy for patients with SAA-II lacking HLA-matched donors.

关键词： severe aplastic anemia     non-severe acquired aplastic anemia     haploidentical bone marrow transplantation     outcomes    

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with composition of lung microbiota and important taxa predicting clinical prognosis in patients with severe

《医学前沿（英文）》 2022年 第16卷 第3期   页码 389-402 doi: 10.1007/s11684-021-0856-3

摘要： Few studies have described the key features and prognostic roles of lung microbiota in patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP). We prospectively enrolled consecutive SCAP patients admitted to ICU. Bronchoscopy was performed at bedside within 48 h of ICU admission, and 16S rRNA gene sequencing was applied to the collected bronchoalveolar lavage fluid. The primary outcome was clinical improvements defined as a decrease of 2 categories and above on a 7-category ordinal scale within 14 days following bronchoscopy. Sixty-seven patients were included. Multivariable permutational multivariate analysis of variance found that positive bacteria lab test results had the strongest independent association with lung microbiota (R2=0.033; P=0.018), followed by acute kidney injury (AKI; R2=0.032; P=0.011) and plasma MIP-1β level (R2=0.027; P=0.044). Random forest identified that the families Prevotellaceae, Moraxellaceae, and Staphylococcaceae were the biomarkers related to the positive bacteria lab test results. Multivariable Cox regression showed that the increase in α-diversity and the abundance of the families Prevotellaceae and Actinomycetaceae were associated with clinical improvements. The positive bacteria lab test results, AKI, and plasma MIP-1β level were associated with patients’ lung microbiota composition on ICU admission. The families Prevotellaceae and Actinomycetaceae on admission predicted clinical improvements.

关键词： severe community-acquired pneumonia     lung microbiota     clinical improvements     7-category ordinal scale     Prevotellaceae    

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Clinical manifestations and outcomes in severe ulcerative colitis

YANG Xuesong, YAO Wei, LIU Wenbin, LI Jun, LU Yumin

《医学前沿（英文）》 2007年 第1卷 第2期   页码 192-195 doi: 10.1007/s11684-007-0036-0

摘要： In order to evaluate the clinical manifestations and outcomes of severe ulcerative colitis (UC), we retrospectively reviewed 41 patients with severe UC from 144 consecutively hospitalized UC cases from 1988 to 2004. Data recorded included onset, symptoms, signs, laboratory results, endoscopic, radiologic and pathologic findings, the clinical treatment process and follow-up. Of these severe cases, 92.7% (38/41) had pancolitis. Clinically, 36.9% (15/41) were categorized as first onset type, 36.9% (15/41) were chronic persistent and 26.8% (11/41) were chronic recurrent. Steroids played a main role in the remission of severe UC (61.0%). Thirty-one cases (75.6%) were relieved by drug therapy. Seven cases (17.1%) progressed to the need for operation. An early age of onset, pancolitis, low hemoglobin and serum albumin levels, and the need for intravenous steroids tended to be associated with the need for surgery. In conclusion, most of the severe UC patients respond well to drug therapy, but for individuals who are unresponsive to drug therapy, or for those depending on steroids, after a reasonable duration of treatment, the necessity for surgery should be considered.
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突发性灾害天气的结构预测与应急对策

欧阳首承,谢娜,郝丽萍

《中国工程科学》 2005年 第7卷 第9期   页码 9-13

摘要：

以V-3θ图的非规则信息结构分别分析了北京2004年7月10日和上海7月12日出现的突发性强对流降水、风暴和川东北的区域性特大暴雨天气过程的结构特征，并简单地讨论了突发灾害天气的预测原理和分析、预测方法。结果表明，局地强对流降水天气或区域性大暴雨在V-3θ图的结构上事先有明显的征兆而可预测；并作为有效的防灾、减灾和相应城市建设应考虑的排水、储水和防风等的特殊性应急措施。

关键词： 溃变     结构分析     突发性强对流     防灾措施    

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Cross-sectional prevalence and pattern of non-anaemia severe malaria among 2–10 year olds in Sokoto in

《医学前沿（英文）》 2022年 第16卷 第6期   页码 969-974 doi: 10.1007/s11684-021-0912-z

摘要： Malaria is highly prevalent in Nigeria and accounts for approximately 40% of global malaria mortality. However, most reports on severe malaria in Nigeria are from hospital-based studies without accurate information from communities; thus, malaria-related deaths in the community are left untracked. This study aimed to describe the prevalence and pattern of severe malaria in a community in Northwestern Nigeria. A cross-sectional study was conducted among 2–10-year-old children in Sokoto, in August and December 2016, to determine the endemicity of malaria based on Plasmodium falciparum prevalence rate (PfPR2-10) and to describe the disease pattern. Severe malaria was diagnosed according to the World Health Organisation criteria. Data were described using Stata version 15. The prevalence of non-anaemia severe malaria was higher than expected (2.6%), considering the endemicity pattern which was mesoendemic based on a PfPR2-10 of 34.8%. The mean age of children with severe malaria was 3.73 years, and the male–female ratio was 2:1. However, 54.0% of the patients had hyperparasitaemia. A relatively high prevalence of non-anaemia severe malaria was found in Wamakko. This finding suggests the need to identify and treat cases in the community using modifications of current strategies, particularly seasonal malaria chemoprophylaxis.

关键词： severe malaria     nigeria     malaria mortality     PfPR2-10     intermediate malaria transmission    

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A pilot study on Paxlovid therapy for hemodialysis patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus

《医学前沿（英文）》 doi: 10.1007/s11684-023-1011-0

摘要： We aimed to investigate the safety and efficacy of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (Paxlovid) therapy for hemodialysis-dependent patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. Thirteen hemodialysis patients infected with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 from April 3 to May 30, 2022, were recruited. Laboratory parameters and chest CT (computed tomography) imaging were analyzed. The treatment group included six patients who received 150 mg/100 mg of Paxlovid orally once daily for 5 days, whereas the control group included seven patients who received basic treatment. No serious adverse reactions or safety events were recorded. Four control patients progressed to moderate disease, and none in the treatment group showed progression of chest CT findings (P < 0.05). Paxlovid therapy tended toward early viral clearance and low viral load on Day 8. Moreover, 83.3% of the patients in the treatment group and 57.1% of the patients in the control group turned negative within 22 days. In the Paxlovid treatment group, we found significantly increased levels of lymphocytes (P=0.03) and eosinophils (P=0.02) and decreased levels of D-dimer on Day 8 compared with those on Day 1. Paxlovid therapy showed a potential therapeutic effect with good tolerance in hemodialysis patients. The optimal dose and effectiveness evaluation must be further investigated in a largeer cohort.

关键词： Paxlovid     hemodialysis     SARS-CoV-2     viral load     chest CT scan    

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火灾事故的灰色-马尔可夫模型预测研究

毛占利,朱毅,杨伯忠,朱磊

《中国工程科学》 2010年 第12卷 第1期   页码 98-101

摘要：

鉴于火灾事故的发生受多种复杂因素的影响，并且具有较大的随机性和波动性的特点，笔者等将灰色模型和马尔可夫模型相结合，建立火灾事故的灰色–马尔可夫模型，利用灰色模型的灰色性和马尔可夫模型的随机性来体现各自的优点，并运用该模型对全国农村火灾事故进行预测。实际应用表明，灰色–马尔可夫模型的预测精度明显高于灰色模型的预测精度，完全能满足预测精度的要求，可以较好地用于火灾事故的预测。

关键词： 灰色模型     马尔可夫模型     火灾事故     预测    

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Arsenic trioxide induced rhabdomyolysis, a rare but severe side effect, in an APL patient: a case report

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《医学前沿（英文）》 2017年 第11卷 第2期   页码 284-286 doi: 10.1007/s11684-017-0514-y

摘要：

Arsenic trioxide (ATO), a component of the traditional Chinese medicine arsenic sublimate, promotes apoptosis and induces leukemic cell differentiation. Combined with all-trans-retinotic acid (ATRA), ATO has become the first-line induction therapy in treating acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL). The most common side effects of ATO include hepatotoxicity, gastrointestinal symptoms, water-sodium retention, and nervous system damage. In this report, we present a rare side effect, rhabdomyolysis, in a 68-year-old female APL patient who was treated with ATO. After taking 10 mg ATO daily for 6 days, she presented shortness of breath, myodynia, elevated creatine kinase, and acute renal insufficiency. This report describes the first case of ATO-induced rhabdomyolysis.

关键词： arsenic trioxide     APL     rhabdomyolysis    

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标题 作者 时间 类型 操作

Experience gained in analyzing severe accidents for WWER RP using CC SOCRAT

期刊论文

Trends of environmental accidents and impact factors in China

Pengli XUE, Weihua ZENG

期刊论文

中法关于核能与环境的联合研究

赵宪庚, 叶其蓁, Sébastien Candel, Dominique Vignon, Robert Guillaumont

期刊论文

重大环境污染事故风险模糊排序方法研究

熊德琪,陈钢,李琼

期刊论文

The influencing factors of the WTP for the risk reduction of chemical industry accidents in China

Lei HUANG, Zhijuan SHAO, Weiliang BAO, Bailing DUAN, Jun BI, Zengwei YUAN

期刊论文

Treatment of severe acute pancreatitis through retroperitoneal laparoscopic drainage

Chun Tang, Baolin Wang, Bing Xie, Hongming Liu, Ping Chen

期刊论文

Presentation of machine learning methods to determine the most important factors affecting road traffic accidents

Hamid MIRZAHOSSEIN; Milad SASHURPOUR; Seyed Mohsen HOSSEINIAN; Vahid Najafi Moghaddam GILANI

期刊论文

Outcomes of haploidentical bone marrow transplantation in patients with severe aplastic anemia-II thatprogressed from non-severe acquired aplastic anemia

期刊论文

with composition of lung microbiota and important taxa predicting clinical prognosis in patients with severe

期刊论文

Clinical manifestations and outcomes in severe ulcerative colitis

YANG Xuesong, YAO Wei, LIU Wenbin, LI Jun, LU Yumin

期刊论文

突发性灾害天气的结构预测与应急对策

欧阳首承,谢娜,郝丽萍

期刊论文

Cross-sectional prevalence and pattern of non-anaemia severe malaria among 2–10 year olds in Sokoto in

期刊论文

A pilot study on Paxlovid therapy for hemodialysis patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus

期刊论文

火灾事故的灰色-马尔可夫模型预测研究

毛占利,朱毅,杨伯忠,朱磊

期刊论文

Arsenic trioxide induced rhabdomyolysis, a rare but severe side effect, in an APL patient: a case report

null

期刊论文